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Joined 10 months ago
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Cake day: August 30th, 2025

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  • 6 months is assuming you gonna give them any decent training. Their main propaganda theme for many years was ww2 and to be like their grandfathers in it.

    So yeah, they’ve progressed in their ww2 cosplay but we can go deeper. They still have personal rifles, after all, and not just several per 30 men.

    As for the bit about taking people who are actually needed - well “victory, we wouldn’t stand behind the price”, same ww2 narrative.

    Now, there is a risk full scale mobilisation would trigger some uncontrollable processes. And they were evading it for quite some time.

    But the thing is, I don’t think russian leadership is purely rational. Their leader sees himself as a messiah on a holy mission to reunite the Rus and be the Gatherer of Russian Lands.

    I don’t think he will bail and I’m fine with it. We need to end russia now, not to leave this problem to our children.


  • They can’t retreat cause empires don’t tolerate weakness. Thats why there were so many attempts “to preserve russians face” at negotiations, all of that denied by Ukraine (rightfully).

    The best they can expect is current lines, and no recognition of occupied lands. And that means “betraying people of Donbass” (not like that ever mattered, but we are dealing with symbols).

    All that, and you also would need to shift from wartime economy to civilian while still sanctioned.

    Imo, they would try full-scale mobilisation and zerg rush first.