I expect China will be able to make EUV machines domestically within a few years. What’s more exciting is that China is actively exploring alternative computing substrates. If one of those pans out, then it could make silicon look like vacuum tubes overnight. For example, stuff like this looks very promising https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2095927323004206
The reality is that we’re now hitting physical limits of what you can do with silicon effectively. There’s really no path forward past 1nm. Whoever manages to scale up production f a new computing substrate first will have a huge advantage going forward. China is most likely to get there before the west because it’s a state driven effort.
Meanwhile, the west largely relies on companies and competition to drive innovation, and it’s not profitable for companies to invest huge amounts of money into research that will take many years to bear fruit. Instead, they focus on short term profits and squeezing what they can out of current technologies.
Imagine saying that Rubio is not a completely disgusting prick with a straight face.
You lot did this all to yourself. You’re the killer clowns of the world.
I’m guessing Saudis are gonna hedge their bets the way Turkiye is doing. The very fact that they are starting to hedge against the US is an indication of a huge shift in my opinion.
BRICS is definitely what G7 sees as the big threat going forward
Indeed, and I’d argue most of actual useful industry exists outside the west at this point.
There’s a famous Lenin quote saying that every society is three hot meals away from chaos, and I think there’s a lot of truth in that.
I don’t think numbers on a computer matter all that much though. US can issue as much currency as it likes, but it’s the material reality that matters in the end. In order to prop up Europe, US needs to produce weapons to send there, same with Israel, and Taiwan. US manufacturing capacity is pretty limited at this point, so they have to pick where to allocate the resources.
Meanwhile, Europe has major problems with its energy supply, and so far the US has been profiteering from selling LNG to Europe at high prices, and poaching European industry. So, we can already see that the whole relationship is turning predatory. This will only get worse going forward. Ultimately, people living in Europe don’t give a shit about stuff like AI, crypto, and so on. They care about being able to feed themselves and keep lights on.
UBI is the wrong solution in general in my opinion. The proper approach is to have universal basic services. People should have access to all the basic needs provided unconditionally. I think it will be interesting to see how China will handle automation as it will definitively show whether it is moving towards communism or not. In a capitalist society, rapid automation would mean mass unemployment and economic strife. However, in a socialist society automation can simply translate into having a shorter work week.
What it comes down to is that the US has finite resources and the oligarchs see China as a bigger threat than Russia. Chinese companies are now directly competing with US companies, and China is starting to dominate a lot of markets like EVs, telecom infrastructure, renewable energy production, and so on. This is one reason the tech oligarchs largely went over to republicans now.
If you read the article, you’ll see that these are being used in combination with traditional automation. The advantage of humanoid robots is versatility and ability to work in spaces designed for humans. As a side note, I always find it amusing how people always assume that nobody bothered to think of these obvious arguments before going ahead and building these robots.
This indeed would be a big problem in a capitalist society where people have to work for the sake of working.
it’s even more stark if you compare by population
I’m convinced that’s precisely what drives the insane policy the west pursues. The fall of USSR and the unipolar moment that followed were the formative years for these people. The world has moved on, but these people never adjusted their thinking.
The other option is to just not make enemies in the east, and learn to coexist with the rest of humanity.
Unlikely to end well for the current Atlanticist political establishment that sucks on the US teat in order to exist. The whole article is basically preparing the public for the austerity that’s going to come in order to ramp up military spending. All that said, I do think that the US will leave Europe to hang as it shifts focus on Asia. This was gonna happen regardless of who won, but it will be happening much more in the open under Trump.
the world is healing
There’s some truth to that, but realistically speaking I think the window of opportunity on that has closed now. The US has lost every one of their own war games against China in South China Sea. So, if China decided to take military action there’s little the US can do short of starting a nuclear war.
There are strong incentives for China to push the boundaries with semiconductors. Data processing and analytics is becoming an essential tool in many domains. Being able to process huge volumes of data faster than your adversaries becomes a really powerful strategic advantage. For example, if you can accurately model patterns in global trade, then you can allocate resources better than your competition. That’s just one example where having powerful processing capability is crucial. It’s pretty clear that Chinese leadership sees the potential here, and I expect we’ll see some amazing things happening in the coming years.