• 55 Posts
  • 108 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 10th, 2023

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  • Eh, if the structure as described (members list their interests and sit out where there is a conflict of interest) is working as intended then I don’t see why she can’t have a job giving opinions on the cancer risk of eggs or asbestos or whatever. She might even be positioned well to understand those risks.

    But it absolutely stretches credulity that an org focusing on cancer has not had a discussion she needed to sit out of in five years. Which means either the structure is not working as described (bad), she’s lying out of her arse (worse), or this org is simply not having these incredibly important discussions (catastrophic).


  • According to Ian Dunt’s How Westminster Works and Why It Doesn’t, the HoL is the only place where high quality scrutiny of legislation actually takes place. It shouldn’t be that way, in theory that should be something MPs do. But MPs aren’t taught to scrutinise legislation, often are not lawyers, and have what is basically a full time job on top of that running constituencies and lobbying on behalf of their constituents. So actually the HoL is currently very necessary.



















  • This prediction market has May at 50%, and that’s mainly because I keep buying it off he back of news like this. Seems like a lot of people are May doubters.

    Reasons I think May is the most likely candidate are:

    • expected polling bounce off a giveaway budget in March
    • small boat numbers are at their natural minimum and only rise as Summer begin
    • later in the year you start running into things like party conference, which you don’t want to miss, and fuel bills, which are going to be a bad news story again. Even if you rank “holding on to power above all else” as the most important thing, a late Q4 election looks a terrible mistake.