🚨🚨New Voting Intention🚨🚨 Labour lead is eighteen percentage points in the latest results from Deltapoll.

Con 28% (+3)

Lab 46% (-2)

Lib Dem 9% (-1)

Other 18% (+1)

Fieldwork: 7th - 10th July 2023 Sample: 1,617 GB adults (Changes from 29th June to 3rd July 2023)

Predictions:

Flavible:

Party Pred % Pred Seats
CON 🌳 28.0% 178
LAB 🌹 46.0% 369
LD 🔶 9.0% 25
REFUK ➡️ 4.0% 0
Green 🌍 7.0% 1
SNP 🎗️ 4% 53
PC 💮 0.5% 3

Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries’):

Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
CON 🌳 44.7% 376 28.0% 1 233 -232 144
LAB 🌹 33.0% 197 46.0% 252 0 +252 449
LIB 🔶 11.8% 8 9% 8 0 +8 16
Reform ➡️ 2.1% 0 4% 0 0 +0 0
Green 🌍 2.8% 1 7% 0 0 +0 1
SNP 🎗️ 4.0% 48 3.5% 0 0 -29 19
PlaidC 💮 0.5% 2 0.5% 1 1 +0 2
Other ⬜️ 1.1% 0 0.1% 1 0 +1 1
N.Ire ⬜️ - 18 - 0 0 +0 18

Scotland EC Break-Down

Con Lab Lib REF Green SNP
21% 35% 6% 1% 0% 36%

PrincipleFish